Why are you focusing on the winter season?

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We are focusing on winter decision making because recent advances in long-range weather forecasting mean it is often possible to provide advance notice of a colder and drier, or warmer and wetter winter than average conditions.

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is an important mode of climate variability in North European climate, and drives much of the signal in winter climate. Recent advances in seasonal forecasting have increased predictability in the winter NAO have led to significant improvements in seasonal climate predictions for Northern Europe during the winter, with advance warnings of cool/dry vs. wet/mild conditions possible several months ahead.

See the following links for more information:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/2014/long-range-forecast-journey

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059637/abstract

www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwDb6a7fE7Q

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LMTool provides seasonal winter weather forecasts (1-3 months ahead) in support of decision making on cover crop planting, choice and management.